> I dare say it's more accurate than what the average human would predict.
Humans have always failed at predicting qualitative improvements like the internet. Most scifi is just quantitative improvements and knowledge of human nature.
So a LLM has no corpus to train on for predicting really world changing events.
Every single "prediction" is something easily recognizable in current HN threads. How can you call that a prediction?
Simple question: if you feed the "AI" the HN front from 2017, what "predictions" will it make? Besides Google canceling yet another product of course. Would they all be about crypto?
Humans have always failed at predicting qualitative improvements like the internet. Most scifi is just quantitative improvements and knowledge of human nature.
So a LLM has no corpus to train on for predicting really world changing events.