- we are far removed from “early adopter” stages at this point
- “eventually all that will smooth out…” is assuming that this is eventually going to be some magic that just works - if this actually happens both early and late adopters will be unemployed.
it is not magic, it is unlikely to ever be magic. but from my personal perspective and many others I read - if you spend time (I am now just over 1,200 hours spent, I bill it so I track it :) ) it will pay dividends (and also will feel like magic ocassionally)
been hacking 3 decades so exponentially north of 1,200 hours ... in my career the one trait that always seems to differentiate great SWEs from decent/mediocre/awful ones is laziness.
the best SWEs will automate anything they have to manually do more than once. I have seen this over and over and over again. LLMs have take automation to another level and learning everything they can be helpful with to automate as much of my work will be worth 12,000+ hours in the long run.
What is this fantasy about people being unemployed? The layoffs we’ve seen don’t seem to be discriminating against or in favor of AI - they appear to be moves to shift capital from human workers to capex for new datacenters.
It doesn’t appear like anything of this sort is happening and the idea that good employer with a solid technical team would start firing people for not “knowing AI” instead of giving them a 2 week intro course seems unrealistic to me.
The real nuts and bolts are still software engineering. Or is that going to change too?
I don't think their will be massive unemployment based on actual "AI has removed the need for SWEs of this level..." kind of talk but I was specifically commenting on eventually all that will smooth out and late adopters who decide want to use the tools will be able onboard themselves plenty fast. ... If this actually did happen (it won't) then we'd all have to worry about being unemployed
- we are far removed from “early adopter” stages at this point
- “eventually all that will smooth out…” is assuming that this is eventually going to be some magic that just works - if this actually happens both early and late adopters will be unemployed.
it is not magic, it is unlikely to ever be magic. but from my personal perspective and many others I read - if you spend time (I am now just over 1,200 hours spent, I bill it so I track it :) ) it will pay dividends (and also will feel like magic ocassionally)