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It doesn't help that new builds seem to focus on the high end for housing (because that is where the profit is). If we keep building more expensive housing it shouldn't be surprising that the average cost of housing increases.


People buying their first house almost never got new housing - ever. They’d buy a starter home, which was older, needed some work, etc.

A big issue here is expectations - people are complaining because they can’t buy their own standalone house in a good neighborhood right next to work - while work is in a high demand, high pay area.

Also, well paid work is centralizing, so so the gradient is getting steeper (or was, pre-remote work).

Guess what, that was never the norm!

But a lot of people did buy in what were at the time low demand, high supply, areas that later became high demand areas! Like early Los Angeles.

Also, everything is getting more expensive relative to ‘hour worked’ because of centralization of capital, and more work force participation.


No, what doesn't help is that the new builds aren't nearly enough. If they were quantitatively sufficient, it wouldn't matter if they all targeted the high end, because the people moving in to it would be pulling demand away from other existing units, with a ripple effect across the whole market.

What many people don't realize is how badly the total housing inventory has fallen behind what is needed for the population since the Great Recession.


It absolutely helps - people who move to high end housing free up other, cheaper apartments (recent economic paper has clearly showed that this works, you can easily find it)




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