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The AI-collapse pre-mortem (berthub.eu)
6 points by freediver 53 days ago | hide | past | favorite | 6 comments


Enjoy your $20/mo claude code while it lasts, guys. Once the investor money starts drying up, a few hundred a month will be a lot closer to the norm going forward. That's probably the biggest concern for me.


The good news is that GPU prices will fall which could offset the price increase somewhat.


> Our thinking on this has evolved - being able to beat absolutely everyone at chess is now not considered enough to be intelligent. But previously we did consider that a useful bar.

Perhaps an actually useful bar to be considered intelligent would be the capacity to not consistently create economy-destroying irrational exuberance bubbles?


That's way beyond intelligence; I would call it superwisdom.


By one count evolution has delivered “serious intelligence” no less than three times (independently), in mammals, corvids, and cephalopods. If you take it broadly, you might include ant colonies as well. Intelligence can’t be that special. Oxygenic photosynthesis evolved exactly once and that took 1.5 billion years. That’s special.


Well that’s certainly one way to diss (and disvalue) the evolutionary efforts of the once and future crabs.




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