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The closest modern analogy might be Liz Truss’ short tenure in the U.K. Her actions paled in comparison to this absurd tariff situation but the only way to resolve it and restore confidence was for her to resign.

The problem in the US is that the tariff situations is bonkers insane, was clearly not thought out at all, and the person controlling the strings is talking about ways to run for a 3rd term instead of considering resignation.

This is a political crisis. The best we can hope for is that the Senate pushes forward with attempts to reign in the president’s tariff powers and the House actually goes along, which is unlikely right now.

I think we’re going to start seeing Republicans test the waters with breaking rank with Trump soon though.



Yeah really, Truss really is the most salient yardstick, with the complication that any analogous action in the mechanisms of american politics feels slightly unfathomable. And I was shocked enough at Truss' ouster.

It's all so divisive, but it frustrates me to no end that likely the biggest end that people trying to defend this, without any admission this is a crisis of confidence waiting to happen if it's not already there.

The amount of political capital immolated for the sake of this course of action is flatly embarrassing. It doesn't really matter what they want or how long they think it's going to take to get it, the damage is already done.


> I think we’re going to start seeing Republicans test the waters with breaking rank with Trump soon though.

This is already happening. The snag is, until the break adds up to a 2/3 majority in both House and Senate, a presidential veto of a bill reversing the tariffs cannot be overridden. And to get to 2/3, a lot more pain is going to have to be felt in Trumpland.


> I think we’re going to start seeing Republicans test the waters with breaking rank with Trump soon though.

Been hearing that weekly for 8 years. If everything before this didn't trigger significant action, I doubt this will.


This.

When people this committed to crazy are shown [more] evidence, they just double down.


If people start turning against Trump, Congress will follow. Look what happened after the 2022 terms. Dems over performed and everyone immediately tried to make Ron Desantis a thing.

Sharks will always be in the water around Trump waiting for him to slip. The question is, will Independents(maybe even some of the base) shift hard away when they start feeling the pain of the tariffs.




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