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Historically a ridiculous percentage of software projects either failed entirely or suffered massive overruns.

For larger, older companies, big-A Agile consultancies were able to sell training and services by touting Agile as a way to achieve savings. They may have even succeeded to some degree at achieving a higher likelihood of eventual delivery and lower overruns.

Smaller companies and early stage startups wanted and needed more lightweight processes. Those that used little-a agile were more likely to succeed and grow instead of going out of business. So there’s a survivor bias at play.

Then everyone else cargo cults and copies whoever looks like they know what they’re doing.



I guess faster reaction times might have been decisive for many early startups.

Nowadays is another story because everyone does and cargo cults are in place.


Sure. But going back to waterfall isn't going to improve reaction times for anyone. So still only the agile shops survive.




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