> Would you be willing to set a deadline (not fuzzy dates) when my job is going to be taken by an LLM and bet $5k on that?
This is just a political question and of course so long as humans are involved in politics they can just decide to ban or delay new technologies, or limit their deployment.
Also in practice it's not like people stopped traditional pre-industrial production after industrialization occurred. It's just that pre-industrial societies fell further and further behind and ended up very poor compared to societies that chose to adopt the newest means of production.
I mean, even today, you can make a living growing and eating your own crops in large swathes of the world. However you'll be objectively poor, making only the equivalent of a few dollars a day.
In short I'm willing to bet money that you'll always be able to have your current job, somewhere in the world. Whether your job maintains its relative income and whether you'd still find it attractive is a whole different question.
This is just a political question and of course so long as humans are involved in politics they can just decide to ban or delay new technologies, or limit their deployment.
Also in practice it's not like people stopped traditional pre-industrial production after industrialization occurred. It's just that pre-industrial societies fell further and further behind and ended up very poor compared to societies that chose to adopt the newest means of production.
I mean, even today, you can make a living growing and eating your own crops in large swathes of the world. However you'll be objectively poor, making only the equivalent of a few dollars a day.
In short I'm willing to bet money that you'll always be able to have your current job, somewhere in the world. Whether your job maintains its relative income and whether you'd still find it attractive is a whole different question.