> - I expect developer productivity to go up 1.5x - 15x over the next several years assuming GTP-4 based tooling is integrated into IDEs.
Hardly. 10% of the time spent is in writing code and the other 90% goes behind debugging and fixing things.
Even if AI shrinks the time spent in that 10% in writing by another 90%, you still have have to take full time for maintaining that code. Changing, debugging, testing, deploying, profiling, log analysis.
Worse, its now someone else's code you need to understand and debug, and not the one written by yourself.
It's not just writing code, GPT and GPT-based tools can help with fixing bugs, solving configuration problems, understanding existing code, suggesting variable names, etc.
Hardly. 10% of the time spent is in writing code and the other 90% goes behind debugging and fixing things.
Even if AI shrinks the time spent in that 10% in writing by another 90%, you still have have to take full time for maintaining that code. Changing, debugging, testing, deploying, profiling, log analysis.
Worse, its now someone else's code you need to understand and debug, and not the one written by yourself.