My partner and I are almost done with our dry December (the month was chosen for personal reasons). Each of us were technically overconsumers of alcohol (2 drinks a night on average) before this month. Throughout the month we’ve both gone through differing intensities of emotions as our minds and bodies adjusted to not drinking. Stress hormones and the dopamine system are affected by drinking, so perhaps we experienced some reversion back to normalcy in either or both. I read this article and my feelings align with everything written; my view on alcohol has changed, hopefully for good.
I think he's referring to Web Ontology Language; IIRC it is a kind of schema for relations in graphs. It was a big part of the Semantic Web surge from 10+ years ago.
Given that energy prices, which are a partial driver of inflation, are high and will certainly remain high through the end of 2022 and beginning of 2023 due to demand from cold weather and China coming back “online”, I really don’t see how the 2022/2023 predictions make sense. They may be solely focusing on how supply chain disruptions will cease soon, but that also implies increases in energy demand which will offset some of those supply improvements.
The prediction is not that prices will fall. The average prices will stay high. They just won't go up as fast. So oil can stay at $100+ but it won't be rising as fast as it has in the past year. Prices rise as supply tightens but as supply stops tightening the price rise will slow. Also the fed is tightening the money supply so even if the prices are trending up there won't be as much money to chase the goods. In a sense the prediction says that the price shocks to the economy are slowing. I hope so because I don't want to deal with any more surprises.
Yes. I changed my email as one does on occasion and, even after confirming with them that I changed my email, they froze my account with the requirement that I mail a copy of my SS card to their fraud dept. I immediately cancelled the card instead of dealing with the hassle. Their card offerings are not competitive so I do not have much incentive to use their credit again.
The most frustrating part was the fraud dept told me they froze my account _because_ I changed my email. Nothing to do with strange charges on the account.
> Moreover, while tech valuations are way down, it’s not at all clear that employees have lost their leverage. The labor market remains extremely tight, and with stock prices depressed, big companies have been forced to compromise on planned office re-openings, allowing employees to work from home indefinitely, while agreeing to big salary increases.
This excerpt undermines the point of the article. Who cares that a bunch of VC’s and CEO’s think “woke employees” should be fired, when the reality is the labor market for these employees is as tight as ever. Trash writing.
I’ve removed snap and had absolutely no issues. My Ubuntu install now upgrades software in the same way as before snap became the default install method. This script seems comprehensive https://github.com/grobo021/snap-nuke
> However, I do believe pretty deeply that every app has the potential to be much more powerful if it leverages the internet and I think the terminal is not an exception.
But that’s exactly it. A lot of people on here, including me, do not agree that _every_ app has that potential. In fact many believe that internet connected apps are unnecessary for many things. There is strong evidence against this if you just look at the number of “secure” systems that have been hacked over the decades. While you may capture a large audience with your internet-first terminal “app”, who honestly don’t care about this stuff while at work, you will get pushback from HN and somewhat+ privacy concerned devs.
It looks like you’re looking at a different chart, which is weird because they look like they’re from the same source. The tweeted pic of the chart shows -40% but the chart you linked never shows a value that low for the date mentioned.
They changed their methodology in March (the tweeted screenshot was taken before then). If you hover over the little triangle next to the title, it says: "We improved the data quality of the Small Business Revenue & Openings series using panel data: our previously posted data relied on a repeated cross-section." And there's a link to this document:
I'm not sure exactly how this particular number is calculated but given the fairly consistent trend I'd suggest longer education before employment, earlier retirement and retired people not dying as early seem likely.
Some other people think it's women entering the workforce, but that not a 1 for 1 affect here and it seems women have possibly hit a similar downward point.:
Imagine how much work it would take to maintain a household without a dishwasher, or a washing machine, or a vacuum cleaner, or febreeze, or modern medicine, or...
We have significantly decreased the cost of chores. They are still extremely painful, but 1/10 the burden they used to be.
Honestly, (young) women in the workplace generally make for a better experience. They typically care more about creating a nice friendly atmosphere.
Young men (used to) bring assertiveness and a created an atmosphere of competition.
Maybe these roles aren't so clearly divided any more. For the vast number of job positions, it doesn't matter much in terms of competence who gets the job. It matters so much more that the coworkers are comfortable and enjoy the workplace.
Men had obvious advantage in physically demanding jobs, but fewer and fewer of these remain.
It's funny. At three places I worked at, I often heard from women that they preferred to work with men "because they are easier going, more honest and their mood is more stable".
I as a man, prefer to work with women. I've met some remarkable women and learned a lot from them and not only in tech.
I think it is a bit more complicated than just a stereotype. "Women bringing a different, less adversarial, work culture" is a trope present in the works of some feminist activist, DEI workshop facilitators, and sociological researchers. Usually it is phrased more as "we should be more accepting of workstyles that differ from the dominant workstyle", where the dominant workstyle happens to be associated with our current stereotypes about masculinity. This is definitely a difficult to discuss topic where you really need to steelman what you hear, otherwise the conversation quickly devolves.
You are assuming that the amount of jobs are zero sum and I don't think we can answer that question. There are situations where there doesn't have to be displacement such as producing goods faster that require more and more people have to sell the item productive.
But, if we would assume that people keep on getting more and more productive due to corporations optimizing for productivity wouldn't we see a drop off of both women and men at the same time? I don't think we would legitimately seem the existing of displacement but actually mutual decreasing.
It might not be zero-sum but someone still has to raise the kids. I'd imagine we'd see dads dropping out of the workforce any time the mom makes more and dad's income doesn't more than cover full time 3rd party childcare.
I was curious about this and looked into it some. Unfortunately couldn't find any source material reliable or concise enough for me to consider linking here - but my overall take on the data is that stay at home dads certainly increased in number, but nowhere near the change these graphs depict.
Numbers vary, but even as of today there are low-single-digit millions of stay at home fathers (under the liberal definition of "18+ male with children in the home who does not work") vs. about ~1m total in the late 80's. Seems like it may account for a point or two on the graphs, but not much more.
Note also that it’s the lower earner’s income after paying the marginal income tax rate on it (when analyzing “what if they quit their job to stay at home?”, marginal, not average, tax rate drives the decision).
For a high-earning couple in a high-tax state, this could be ~50%.
> It might not be zero-sum but someone still has to raise the kids.
In generations past, that was done by women who were counted as not having a job (despite working longer hours than their husbands, 7 days a week). That doesn't need to be the case -- and in fact, dual-income households can create jobs: cleaners, cooks (delivery drivers etc), and childcare. In my grandma's generation, a woman's household duties also included gardening and preserving foods, and making/repairing clothes -- but those jobs have been outsourced so completely that they're now seen as quirky hobbies.
This has been the difficult bit for the ecosystem, and I think grasps at what GP is saying. For every competent dev/cryptographer in the space, there are 10(0) who are not because there’s so much money floating around. Those 10(0) may implement zk-class protocols incorrectly and end up in the same situation we see today. There is promise in but a ton of validation/maturation to do for zkrollups in the wild.
