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In order to get lucky with something you have to give luck a chance. There is no way to win a lottery when you don't buy a ticket in the first place. The more tickets you buy (the more involved you are), the greater the chance you'll win (luck). What's more to it?

Btw, what is luck? Some things that make you happy in the short term can easily destroy everything that's dear to you in the long term.


A long time ago I was inspired by a comment on HN which put this in terms of "increasing your luck surface area". The phrasing stuck with me and I've applied it to my life ever since.


Good book for you: Luck Factor. It talks a lot about this.

https://richardwiseman.wordpress.com/books/the-luck-factor/


...by Richard Wiseman, mentioned in the article.


Seems to go back to 2010 in the HN context:

https://page99test.wordpress.com/2010/11/07/making-the-front...


first

> It's money you've earned, delivered instantly.

second

> it ultimately triggers an investigation and can impact client's reputation within our system

Hmm, this is confusing. Is bad reputation in your system the only penalty for an employer not paying? And that's it?


Definitely cool technology, only not for me. I'll never place a camera in my home that is connected to some cloud service or company database. That data is simply too valuable for me to send out to a "trusted" party.


I'd also like to hear more about the tech to know how seriously they're taking privacy... I was already against an Amazon Echo in my home, and that only records audio rather than video.

(For the convenience, I ended up using a Google Home, and I'll likely switch to an Apple HomePod next as they seem the most trustworthy with your data.)

If Piccolo will make money through data (like Amazon or Google), there's virtually no way for it to be non-intrusive unlike with audio, as we'd just be using it for turning off our lights rather than searching for the nearest French restaurant. Data would have to come from visual recognition. Hopefully the lack of connection needed to a cloud in this situation will result in more security? Anyway, curious to see how it works.


That's a fair concern. We are very serious about privacy. Existing cameras today focus on security so they have to store your data. Piccolo on the other hand is for real-time interactions so images are never stored.


What do you plan to do with other sorts of data?

Like does the cloud just trigger events and this it, or does it keep a log of where people are located in the scene and whether they have their arms crossed, etc?


Clickbait? Where is that music?

Didn't hear one single interesting sound out of that box that can be used to create music. Most producers and musicians already went back to analog because it sounds so much better.

I would be really impressed if some machine learning algorithm can only generate a kick that sounds better than the original analog TR808/909.


> The bubble is too big for Google

There is the "bubble" word again. So how about our economy, isn't that a bubble too?

What is a bubble? I still see too many places in the world where the sales price for a house is easily 10x the price it actually cost to build it. Banks? Quantitative easing? Startup's? Or at what point will Google look like a bubble itself?

Governments and Banks have learned that the crypto-currency revolution can replace a significant part of our current economy. Whether that's good or bad news, calling it a bubble is foolish and cheap IMHO.


Sure, any bubble can pop. But unlike some other assets, like houses, many popular cryptocurrencies currently have little-to-no intrinsic value.


does an AMZ share have an intrinsic value?


Yes because at the end of the day an share of AMZ means you own a small percentage of that company. That includes a small percentage of all their physical assets, servers, real estate, cash on hand etc.

So yeah there is some intrinsic value.


can you go to amazon headquarters and exchange an AMZ share for an office chair? as a physical asset? i have a feeling that security will escort you from the building before you finish the transaction. the only intrinsic value will be the bruises on your wrists.

edit: the value of the share (in the old good days) is the discounted cash flow. you invest in a business, then business pays you the share of the profits (hence - share) in the form of dividends. AMZ share does NOT pay any dividends, nor does grant you any voting rights. nothing. zero. this is your intrinsic value.


> can you go to amazon headquarters and exchange an AMZ share for an office chair?

If the total value of share prices drops below the value of the assets, you can buy all the shares, take the company private and sell off all the assets to make money.

Assets (vs liabilities) thus can put a floor on the value of a stock price.


i have AMZ shares. and i am still waiting when amazon business goes down the drain so i can take amazon private and sell off its assets and make profit. one helluva business plan and intrinsic value.


Just because something is illiquid or can't be returned doesn't mean it has no value.


AMZ is very liquid:)

it is amazing that no one seems to be able to answer simple question - what financial benefit do i get from ownership of an AMZ share? other that selling it to a bigger fool.


Exactly. Cryptocurrency valuations at the moment are 99% speculation about future utility. Actually it may be 99.9%.


Pet peeve: made up numbers. Why not just use an adverb?

Yes, I spend a lot of time annoyed.


Yes I should have said "on the order of 99%". I think generally figures like "99%", when used in this context, imply that this is an approximate value, but I agree that it's better to explicitly state that.



yep. the only intrinsic value i get in exchange for 1,300$ AMZ share is the link explaining the value of an intrinsic value. what exactly can you claim from amazon in exchange for a share? except for a kick in a butt from amazon security?


> Avoid try/catch

haha, async await needs that by design!


It's not required, you can use .catch since it's just normal promises:

const result = await doStuff().catch(errorHandler);


So what do you think your result variable contains in the event that the promise is rejected? Is this semantically equivalent to try/catch?


(async () => { const result = await Promise.reject(1).catch(e => e); return result; })()

// =>Promise {<resolved>: 1}

As you can see, the variable contains a promise returned by the .catch. It's not equivalent to try/catch (in that case the variable won't be defined for one thing), but it does allow for error handling without using try/catch if one is inclined to do so.

In practice, I've been using async/await extensively in Node.js/Express, and I'm yet to write a single try/catch. In Express, I simply use a wrapper function that catches promise rejections and siphons them to error handling middleware:

const asyncIt = fn => (req, res, next, ...args) => fn(req, res, next, ...args).catch(next);


I'm glad Harry Potter was not written by these rules.


Off course, but the steady stream of money to the rich is unstoppable. The problem is that we are conditioned to accept the extreme wealthy and even look up to them. Most people think everything is OK as long as they have a decent income. So most people only find out first about the horror of this system once they lose their job and hit the streets. But then it's all too late when the reality sinks in. With the sticker POOR on your head your kinda lost till you die in this world.

We live in a world of modern slavery where one needs the skill and luck to find a good job to avoid the streets. A better distribution of wealth would be great of course. Imagine all those billionaires rendering at least half of their fortunes back to the poor. But that is not realistic and will never happen. Things will get worse to the point they lock us up in some sort of "District 9" (Elysium).


Well, at least less meaningless than the widely used word "Economy" representing our financial system of waste, where consumers have to keep buying stuff to keep the system intact.


Always funny to see people in finance call crypto currencies "virtual currencies". Do they mean fiat currency is not virtual? Does it represent a real value or so? IMHO it's even worse, they keep increasing the maximum supply, devalue the worthless paper even more. But at least they have a chic word for it: Quantitive easing.


Central banks increase the supply to keep inflation stable (at a first approximation). Monetary intervention (in the form of quantitative easing) was required to keep the economy from crashing once fiscal policy couldn't. If you think it devalued the dollar you're utterly wrong.


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