LTO-9 tapes are actually 18TB, but yes they are a lot cheaper than optical discs. If you can afford the drive.

This has little to do with whether you curate. That's a whole different discussion about optimizing for cost, where many many terabytes eventually make LTO become cheaper. When we're specifically looking at reliability for important files, there might only be one tape's worth of data. It's a $3000 fee to make that tape (and its backups) last a long time in storage, and having more or less data barely affects the price.

I don't think you get to be this snarky about helping people understand things, when your initial contribution was to read "it's all hands over the holiday weekend time" and reply by saying it's a holiday weekend.

But how does that bias manifest? The only thing you said was that they "ignore neutral or positive stories", and that doesn't seem to be true.

You've deeply misunderstood their argument in some way I can't quite figure out.

It's simple. We know the quotes are fake, but we don't know for sure if they're hallucinations. The blog post does not resolve this uncertainty.

And yes other answers are reasonably plausible.

You said in another comment that they're "retreating" and "refusing to read" and... no. Your insults are not justified at all.

I haven't seen a single person advocate not looking at the code.

I'm sure that person exists but they're not representative of HN as a whole.

This assumes very slow AI progress. I'm not one to hype up LLMs, but I would never claim it'll take 200 years before an AI can untangle a sewing machine with robot hands. Stuffing an envelope and applying a stamp? My bet is less than 20 years. That's a level of tactility that can do a tremendous amount of real-world activity. And the capability of a high end robot controlled by a human keeps expanding, so in the hypothetical "AGI" scenario the flood fill gets pretty big.

I guess it's time to bring up "Why today's humanoids won't learn dexterity":

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45392922

Self-driving looks like a much easier problem, it has gotten a massive amount of investment in the last decade, and it's not fully solved yet. Compared to that your 20 years estimate sounds way too optimistic.

I don't think driving looks easier than untangling. You can untangle nice and slow with little outside involvement. When it comes to self-driving at 25mph without traffic, it pretty much is a solved problem.

I think this untangling problem gets underestimated because people aren't consciously aware of what they're using to analyze and address a tangle. The input is not all vision - you've got sensation in your fingers giving you feedback with which you update your model of the problem as you progress. The operation varies in strength depending on so many factors.

At the point you have enough sensor input, enough force application variability, and the power to process this in the ballpark of real-time (comparable to a human brain), you now have a being who's going to advocate for the removal of slavery and the application of rights.

> One day, you will be weak and fall prey.

I really dislike statements like this. It's not cocaine.